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Our methodology analyzes the
shapes of the yield curves for all the major
bond market sectors. While the concept of
a "yield curve" is generally associated with
Treasury securities, an important aspect of
PIA's investment process is our application of
yield curve analysis to other yield curves such
as those in the industrial, financial,
government agency and mortgage-backed sectors.
We maintain and analyze a database
of over 75 bond market sectors, which provides
insight into the probabilistic nature of shifts
in these yield curves.
We structure portfolios to emphasize
sectors that we believe are most likely to
benefit from declines in relative yields as
the various yield curves revert to their normal
shape. We view a sector of the yield curve to
be attractive when it provides above average
yield after adjusting for risk. We structure
portfolio maturities based on the shape of
the "risk-adjusted" yield curve. Normally,
when the yield curve is steep, portfolio
maturities tend to be longer than average.
When the yield curve is flat or inverted,
portfolio maturities tend to be shorter than
average.
The Bond Strategy Group meets
to review the credit quality of portfolio
holdings and analyze securities under
consideration. We employ several strategies to
select securities within the undervalued
sectors. Optimization and barbell/bullet
strategies are used to select Treasury
securities. For corporate fixed income securities,
we employ fundamental analysis combined with
analysis of the credit-spread curve. We select
Mortgage-backed securities utilizing several
quantitative measures including: OAS analysis,
cash flow sensitivities, effective duration,
convexity, and prepayment and volatility
durations.
PIA purchases securities that assist in
achieving the composition goals of the
portfolio, i.e. a) securities that are
consistent with the client's governing Statement of
Guidelines; b) securities in sectors that we
rank as undervalued on a risk-adjusted basis.
We construct investment grade portfolios
utilizing all major fixed income sectors, which
include Treasury, Agency, Corporate, Asset-
backed and Mortgage-backed securities. PIA
will sell a security if it and/or its sector
appreciates on a relative price basis and
becomes overvalued on a risk-adjusted basis.
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